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- What is Bayesian Networks?
- Creating a Bayesian Network Structure
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Bayesian Networks, also known as Bayesian Belief Networks or Bayes Nets, are probabilistic graphical models used to represent and reason about uncertainty and dependencies between variables. They are widely applied in various fields, including machine learning, artificial intelligence, medicine, and finance.
Bayesian Networks consist of nodes representing variables and directed edges indicating probabilistic dependencies. Each node encapsulates a probability distribution that quantifies the likelihood of the variable given its parent nodes. This structured approach allows for efficient reasoning under uncertainty, making Bayesian Networks powerful tools for decision-making, risk assessment, and prediction.
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Creating a Bayesian Network Structure
# Import necessary libraries
from pgmpy.models import BayesianNetwork
from pgmpy.factors.discrete import TabularCPD
# Define the structure of the Bayesian Network
bayesian_network = BayesianNetwork([('A', 'C'), ('B', 'C')])
# Define Conditional Probability Distributions (CPDs)
cpd_a = TabularCPD(variable='A', variable_card=2, values=[[0.3], [0.7]])
cpd_b = TabularCPD(variable='B', variable_card=2, values=[[0.6], [0.4]])
cpd_c = TabularCPD(variable='C', variable_card=2,
values=[[0.1, 0.2, 0.5, 0.4], [0.9, 0.8, 0.5, 0.6]],
evidence=['A', 'B'], evidence_card=[2, 2])
# Add CPDs to the Bayesian Network
bayesian_network.add_cpds(cpd_a, cpd_b, cpd_c)
# Check if the Bayesian Network is valid
print("Is the network valid?", bayesian_network.check_model())
# Print the CPDs of the Bayesian Network
print("\nCPDs of Bayesian Network:")
for cpd in bayesian_network.get_cpds():
print(cpd)
Explanation:
- Imports: We import necessary classes from pgmpy for defining Bayesian Networks (BayesianNetwork) and Conditional Probability Distributions (TabularCPD).
- Structure: We define a Bayesian Network structure with nodes 'A', 'B', and 'C' where 'C' depends on 'A' and 'B'.
- CPDs: We define conditional probability distributions (cpd_a, cpd_b, cpd_c) for nodes 'A', 'B', and 'C' respectively.
- Add CPDs: We add the defined CPDs to the Bayesian Network.
- Validity Check: We check if the Bayesian Network structure and CPDs are consistent.
- Print CPDs: Finally, we print out the CPDs of the Bayesian Network.
This example demonstrates a basic Bayesian Network setup with conditional probabilities, showing how variables ('A', 'B', 'C') can influence each other probabilistically. Students can modify the values and structure to experiment with different Bayesian Network configurations and learn about probabilistic dependencies.
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